Nur Asheila, Abdul Taib and Jane, Labadin (2022) Sensitivity Analysis of the Effective Reproduction Number in a Sarawak Rabies Epidemic Model. In: 2022 International Conference on Future Trends in Smart Communities (ICFTSC), 1-2 December 2022, Borneo Conventional Centre Kuching Sarawak.
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Abstract
For past decades, investigations on the transmission dynamics of canine-mediated rabies as well as the best practice for rabies control efforts have utilized mathematical models. In this paper, sensitivity of the effective reproduction number to model parameters is investigated by employing Normalized Forward Sensitivity Index. A Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Vaccinated (SEIV) model for rabies is formulated and the effective reproduction number is derived through the Next Generation Matrix method. The sensitivity analysis has identified dog-to-dog transmission rate and rate of newborn dogs as the most impactful parameters that contribute to the number of secondary infections. The result highlighted the significance of dog population management to curtail rabies transmission. This is crucial in aiding public health decision-makers as these influential parameters can be targeted for rabies control and intervention strategies.
| Item Type: | Proceeding (Paper) |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | rabies, sensitivity, SEIV, epidemic, Sarawak. |
| Subjects: | Q Science > QA Mathematics |
| Divisions: | Academic Faculties, Institutes and Centres > Faculty of Computer Science and Information Technology Faculties, Institutes, Centres > Faculty of Computer Science and Information Technology Academic Faculties, Institutes and Centres > Faculty of Computer Science and Information Technology |
| Depositing User: | Labadin |
| Date Deposited: | 20 Feb 2023 04:02 |
| Last Modified: | 20 Feb 2023 04:02 |
| URI: | http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/41344 |
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