Current Account Deficit Sustainability: A Panel Approach

Evan,, Lau and Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah and Stilianos, Fountas (2005) Current Account Deficit Sustainability: A Panel Approach. Journal of Economic Integration, 20 (3). pp. 514-529. ISSN 1225-651X

Full text not available from this repository.

Abstract

Abstract In this paper we attempt to examine the issue of sustainability of current account imbalances in eight East Asia countries using the latest developments in nonstationary panel data analysis. The methods of nonstationary time series panels provide a much more promising explanation than would an analysis based on pure time series or cross section data. The empirical results clearly indicate that the current account imbalances were not on the long-run steady state in the pre-crisis era (1970-1997). This leads to the conclusion that the current accounts of Asia-8 during this period were unstable and did not move towards external account equilibrium. However, strong comovements between exports and imports are found in the extended sample period that includes the post-crisis period (1970-2000). This result implies that large currency depreciations and the economic recovery have brought the Asia-8 economies back on a sustainable path. Thus, current account imbalances may be used as an indicator (or warning signal) in predicting future crises.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: current account deficits, sustainability, panel cointegration, Asian economies, unimas, university, universiti, Borneo, Malaysia, Sarawak, Kuching, Samarahan, ipta, education, research, Universiti Malaysia Sarawak.
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Academic Faculties, Institutes and Centres > Faculty of Economics and Business
Depositing User: Karen Kornalius
Date Deposited: 06 May 2015 01:42
Last Modified: 06 May 2015 01:42
URI: http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7275

Actions (For repository members only: login required)

View Item View Item